Prediction Market Report: podcast episodes and interviews
The interviews we recorded for our Prediction Markets Report 2026, with economists and builders on how prediction markets work, where they fail and who regulates them.
Episodes3 episodes
Futarchy and Prediction Markets: Robin Hanson Interview
Robin Hanson on futarchy, decision markets, why insider trading complaints are opportunistic, and why prediction markets should be judged against journalism.
Hyperliquid Prediction Markets: The Binary Options Play
Stratium founder Wasim Fukase on building Hyperliquid prediction markets, why he calls them binary options, and why liquidity is still the binding problem.
Prediction Market Manipulation: The Paradox Explained
Economist Rajiv Sethi separates three kinds of prediction market manipulation and explains why a market nobody can rig is a market nobody believes in.
The report
Our research9 articles
The Wisdom of Crowds Is the Wrong Slogan for a Market 3% of Traders Price Prediction Markets · Oct 1, 2026 What the Fed Found When It Tested Kalshi Against Its Own Decisions Prediction Markets · Oct 1, 2026 Hyperliquid HIP-4: Staked, Slashable Resolution and What It Fixes Prediction Markets · Sep 30, 2026 Prediction Markets vs Polls: The June 2024 Debate Settled Less Than You Think Prediction Markets · Sep 30, 2026 Rothera Explained: Why Robinhood Stopped Renting Kalshi's Exchange Prediction Markets · Sep 25, 2026 Every Prediction Market Platform in 2026, and What Each One Actually Is Prediction Markets · Sep 25, 2026 Kalshi vs Polymarket: Volume, Fees, Custody and Legal Status Compared Research · Sep 23, 2026 Nobody Knows How Big Prediction Markets Are, Including the Platforms Research · Sep 23, 2026 Prediction Markets 2026: The Truth Machine Got Rich Research · Sep 7, 2026
